Rainfall Amount
In February 2026, the forecasted cumulative rainfall across Liberia is anticipated to be between 34.4 mm and 99.9 mm. The highest rainfall amounts are expected over Sinoe, River Gee, Grand Kru, Maryland, and parts of Rivercess Counties. Lower rainfall amounts below 34.4 mm are predicted over upper Lofa County, while the rest of the country is expected to receive rainfall amounts ranging between 45.3 mm to 79.5 mm
Relative Humidity
Relative humidity across the country during February 2026 is forecast to range between 61.7% and 82.4%. The highest relative humidity values (79.5%–82.4%) are expected over the coastal and southeastern counties, while the lowest relative humidity is anticipated over the extreme northern and central regions of Liberia.
Maximum Temperature
The maximum temperature for February 2026 is projected to range between 28.3°C and 32.3°C across the counties. The lowest maximum daytime temperatures are expected over Maryland, Grand Kru, Sinoe, and Margibi Counties, while higher maximum temperatures are forecast over the northern, western, and central regions. Extreme maximum temperatures are anticipated in parts of Lofa, Nimba, Bong, Gbapolu, and Grand Cape Mount Counties.
Minimum Temperature
Minimum temperatures across Liberia are expected to range between 18.5°C and 26.0°C during February 2026. The lowest minimum temperature range (18.5°C–20.6°C) is anticipated over parts of Lofa, Gbapolu, Bong, Nimba, and Grand Gedeh Counties, whereas the highest minimum temperatures (around 26.0°C) are expected along the coastal areas, with Margibi County likely to record the highest values.
Malaria Vigilance
The expected climatic conditions in the month of February 2026 suggest a high prospects of malaria incidences in Maryland, Grand Kru Sinoe, River Gee, Rivercess and parts of Nimba, Grand Bassa and Margibi counties. However, moderate vigilant cases are expected to occur in other parts of counties during the forecast period
The highlights of the Climate and Health Bulletin for February 2026
In February 2026, the forecasted cumulative rainfall across Liberia is anticipated to be between 34.4 mm and 99.9 mm. The highest rainfall amounts are expected over Sinoe, River Gee, Grand Kru, Maryland, and parts of Rivercess Counties. Lower rainfall amounts below 34.4 mm are predicted over upper Lofa County, while the rest of the country is expected to receive rainfall amounts ranging between 45.3 mm to 79.5 mm.
Relative humidity across the country during February 2026 is forecast to range between 61.7% and 82.4%. The highest relative humidity values (79.5%–82.4%) are expected over the coastal and southeastern counties, while the lowest relative humidity is anticipated over the extreme northern and central regions of Liberia.
The maximum temperature for February 2026 is projected to range between 28.3°C and 32.3°C across the counties. The lowest maximum daytime temperatures are expected over Maryland, Grand Kru, Sinoe, and Margibi Counties, while higher maximum temperatures are forecast over the northern, western, and central regions. Extreme maximum temperatures are anticipated in parts of Lofa, Nimba, Bong, Gbapolu, and Grand Cape Mount Counties.
Minimum temperatures across Liberia are expected to range between 18.5°C and 26.0°C during February 2026. The lowest minimum temperature range (18.5°C–20.6°C) is anticipated over parts of Lofa, Gbapolu, Bong, Nimba, and Grand Gedeh Counties, whereas the highest minimum temperatures (around 26.0°C) are expected along the coastal areas, with Margibi County likely to record the highest values.
The mean air temperature across the country for February 2026 is forecasted to range between 25.3°C and 27.5°C. Lower mean temperatures (24.0°C–25.0°C) are expected over Lofa and parts of Gbapolu County, while higher mean temperatures (26.5°C–27.5°C) are anticipated across the coastal counties.
With respect to malaria incidence, the predicted cases for February 2026 range between 0.0 and 10.3 cases per 100 persons across the country. Higher malaria cases are expected in parts of Margibi, Grand Bassa, Sinoe, Grand Kru, and Maryland Counties. Lower malaria cases are anticipated over Lofa and parts of Gbapolu, Bong, Nimba, and Grand Gedeh Counties, while the remaining counties are expected to experience moderate malaria incidence.
Overall, the forecasted climatic conditions for February 2026 indicate a high likelihood of malaria incidence in Maryland, Grand Kru, Sinoe, River Gee, Rivercess, and parts of Nimba, Grand Bassa, and Margibi Counties. Moderate vigilance is advised for other counties during the forecast period.
The anticipated temperature and relative humidity conditions are also likely to contribute to drug and medication instability across Liberia. Based on the forecasted weather elements, high medical storage vigilance is recommended for most parts of the country, while lower medical instability vigilance is expected over Maryland, Grand Kru, and parts of Sinoe, River Gee, Grand Bassa, and Margibi Counties.
Regarding heat stress conditions, extreme caution to normal heat index levels is expected across the country during February 2026. Most parts of Liberia are likely to experience a moderate (caution) heat index, while Lofa County is expected to experience a normal heat index.
